Notes to editors
Spending on health and social care over the next 50 years: Why think long term? is published by The King's Fund on 31 January 2013. For further information or to request an interview with John Appleby, please contact the Press and Public Affairs team on 020 7307 2585 (if calling out of hours, please ring 07584 146 035).
Fifty years ago, the NHS consumed 3.4 per cent of GDP. In 2012, spending on the NHS and social care amounted to 8.2 per cent and 1.2 per cent of GDP respectively. Together, they account for nearly 20 per cent of all government spending. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has estimated that NHS and social care spending could rise to 16.6 per cent and 2.5 per cent of GDP by 2061. Based on the OBR’s estimates that GDP will increase by an average of 2.2 per cent a year over this period, and assuming no change to current levels of taxation and government expenditure, this would mean that health and social care would account for around 50 per cent of all government spending in 2061.
More information about the Fund's Time to Think Differently programme can be found at: www.kingsfund.org.uk/think
The King's Fund is an independent charity working to improve health and health care in England. We help to shape policy and practice through research and analysis; develop individuals, teams and organisations; promote understanding of the health and social care system; and bring people together to learn, share knowledge and debate. Our vision is that the best possible care is available to all.